TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Closed: Aug 12, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Pooh Shiesty - Last Man Breathin [Official Audio]
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's daily chart in the United States for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for music videos on a given day, offering insight into audience preferences and viral content performance.
Kalshi
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the associated video ranks exactly #2 on that chart for the specified date. The resolution relies solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the designated day. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, not indicative of affiliation or endorsement. No other factors or interpretations influence the outcome beyond the exact ranking position on the specified chart and date.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced assessment of likelihood. Analysts may incorporate longer-term trends and historical data, while traders on Kalshi react quickly to breaking news and social media momentum. The difference between these views can highlight where public perception diverges from expert opinion.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement from YouTube or widely-trusted entertainment news sources will determine the final result, and the market will close based on that verified information.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major social media buzz around specific artists, award show nominations or wins, high-profile performances, and any last-minute controversies or partnerships. As the August 12 date approaches, early playback leaks or influencer endorsements may also create noticeable movement in trader sentiment and market prices.
