TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video secures the second position on YouTube's daily chart in the United States for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for music videos on a given day, showcasing audience preferences through streaming data.
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos United States chart for August 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's official chart ranking, with no consideration for ties, partial rankings, or other chart positions. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the event operator. The outcome is binary for each market—either the specified video is ranked #2 (resolving 'Yes') or it is not (resolving 'No').
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect real-time trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional polling or expert predictions. Where analysts may offer long-term views based on historical trends, this market updates instantly with new information, sometimes showing a different frontrunner or narrowing the gap between contenders.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on official announcements or widely accepted entertainment industry sources that declare the runner-up for the Daily Music Video USA on August 10, 2026.
Key signals include early releases of video performance data, social media engagement metrics, industry awards buzz, and any controversies or endorsements surrounding the leading contenders. Major shifts in public opinion, media coverage spikes, or unexpected changes to the competition format could also cause this market to fluctuate significantly before it settles.