TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 7, 2026
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela
NAA PUSHDE (Teaser) - Neha Kakkar | Akanksha Chaudhary & Yogesh Rawat | Harsh Nussi | Anshul Garg
Barsaat Mein Aaya (Official Video) - Mr Dutt | Tanu Rawat | New Haryanvi Songs 2026
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Each market represents a different song or artist, and the outcome depends on YouTube's official ranking data for that day.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for September 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and resolution hinges on that video securing the #2 spot in YouTube's officially published chart for the specified date. All markets share identical resolution mechanics, with each one's 'Yes' outcome contingent solely upon its respective video achieving the designated ranking. Disclaimers clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube branding are purely descriptive, emphasizing the observational nature of the event without implying affiliation or endorsement from the platform.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional music industry analysts, potentially identifying under- or overvalued contenders based on a wider range of factors. While analysts may focus on established metrics like chart performance, the market incorporates real-time sentiment and broader audience engagement. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies and the inclusion of information not readily available to analysts, offering a unique view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a particular music video being the runner-up. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a fluid pricing mechanism that attempts to accurately reflect the collective wisdom of participants regarding the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the music video that is officially designated as the runner-up in the daily music video rankings on YouTube will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and will be verified to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Unexpected viral trends, major endorsements from influential figures, or shifts in YouTube’s algorithm could all impact the perceived popularity of different music videos. News regarding artist collaborations or promotional campaigns could also influence trading activity. Additionally, any controversies or unexpected events surrounding the artists or videos themselves could cause substantial shifts in the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.
