TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela
- Kalshi
Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 4, 2026
Closed: Sep 3, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Girls' Generation-HRS 소녀시대-효리수 'Skibidi' Performance Video
@SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity trends for diverse musical releases from around the world on that day.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for September 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. Only one video can occupy the #2 position, meaning only the market associated with that video will resolve to 'Yes,' while all others resolve to 'No.' The resolution is based solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the specified date. All markets explicitly state that YouTube has not endorsed these products, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and the event operator.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as predicting the success of music videos is largely based on subjective factors and viral trends. However, the prediction market aggregates the collective wisdom of many traders, potentially offering a more dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely outcome than static analyst predictions. If analysts were to make predictions, this market could serve as a useful gauge of whether the crowd agrees with their assessments, or if traders see something different.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current market depth and order book are visible on the Kalshi dashboard, allowing traders to see the best available prices for buying and selling.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the runner-up daily music video on YouTube as determined by YouTube's official charts and publicly available data will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on the video that receives the second-highest number of views within the 24-hour period ending on September 3, 2026, as reported by YouTube's official statistics.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Unexpected viral trends, major artist announcements, or shifts in YouTube’s algorithm could all impact the popularity of different music videos. The release of highly anticipated music videos from prominent artists in the weeks leading up to September 3, 2026, would likely cause substantial price fluctuations. Furthermore, any news regarding changes to YouTube’s ranking criteria or view counting methods could also influence trader behavior and shift the odds in this market.
