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$1,436,095,462
405,232
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 22, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity of music videos on a particular day, showcasing trends in global digital content consumption.
Kalshi
The event determines the music video that secures the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for September 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets share identical secondary rules clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these markets and that any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement by YouTube. The resolution hinges solely on YouTube's officially published chart rankings for the specified day, with no additional qualifications or adjustments.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying trends or underappreciated videos that analysts may overlook. While analysts rely on subjective assessments and historical data, this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time sentiment. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of uncertainty or disagreement regarding which music video is poised for success.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, signaling growing confidence in that video's performance. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price, indicating waning confidence. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the collective expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the music video that achieves the highest number of views on YouTube within a 24-hour period, as officially reported by YouTube analytics. The data will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. This ensures a fair and objective determination of the winning music video.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Unexpected viral trends on social media platforms like TikTok or X (formerly Twitter) could rapidly increase viewership for a particular music video. Major endorsements from influential celebrities or appearances in popular media could also drive substantial traffic. Furthermore, any controversies or positive press surrounding an artist or song could impact its popularity and, consequently, its performance in this market. A sudden release of a highly anticipated music video could also shift the odds.
