TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Participants can speculate on the popularity and reach of various music videos, reflecting viewer engagement and trends in global music consumption.
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for September 19, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The outcome is solely based on YouTube's official chart data for the specified date. It is important to note that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive and do not imply affiliation or endorsement.
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for this specific event. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. If analysts were to publicly forecast the ranking of music videos, it would be interesting to see how their predictions align with the collective wisdom reflected in this market. The ability to continuously update based on new information is a key difference between prediction markets and static analyst reports.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which music video ranks as the runner-up on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated September 19, 2026. The final ranking will be sourced from publicly available chart data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution. Traders should monitor the official YouTube charts as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential catalysts that could influence the outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Unexpected viral trends for a particular artist or song, major marketing campaigns launched by record labels, or even significant news events impacting artist popularity could all influence trading activity. The release of highly anticipated music videos in the weeks leading up to September 19, 2026, will likely have a substantial impact. Shifts in YouTube’s algorithm or changes in user viewing habits could also play a role, altering the competitive landscape and affecting the probabilities reflected in this market.