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404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Which video will be the runner-up on YouTube Sep 30, 2026?
Parvati
- Kalshi
Parvati - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 17, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 16, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity of different tracks as measured by YouTube's ranking system on that day.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for September 16, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' for the video that ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. If multiple videos tie for the #2 position, all tied videos will resolve as 'Yes'. No endorsement or affiliation with YouTube is implied; references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The outcome is solely based on YouTube's officially published chart data for the specified date.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as predicting viral music video success is inherently challenging. However, the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi often reflects a different perspective than individual expert opinions. If analysts widely expect a certain video to perform well, but volume concentrates on a different outcome in this market, it could indicate a disagreement about the likely result. This divergence can be a valuable signal for those following the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on identifying the music video that achieves the highest ranking as the runner-up daily global music video on YouTube as determined by YouTube's official charts and publicly available data. The outcome will be determined by the video with the highest ranking at the time of resolution, as verified against credible public sources.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Unexpected viral trends on platforms like TikTok or Instagram could boost a video’s popularity. Major endorsements from influential artists or celebrities could also drive viewership. Furthermore, any news or controversies surrounding the artists involved could influence public perception and, therefore, the market. Finally, the release of competing music videos around the same time could shift attention and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.
