TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
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Dai Dai - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 17, 2026
Closed: Sep 15, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
Chhathi Maiya - The VVAAN | Sidharth Malhotra & Tamannaah | Vishal Mishra | Kaushal K | Chinni P
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Multiple music tracks compete to be ranked #2 based on YouTube's official metrics for that day.
Kalshi
The event determines the music video that ranks #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for September 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video secures the second position on the chart for the specified date. All markets share the same resolution criterion but apply to different musical pieces or artists. The resolution relies solely on YouTube's official chart rankings, and no endorsement or affiliation with YouTube is implied through these markets or their references.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a unique perspective, potentially identifying under or overvalued outcomes compared to traditional predictions. While analysts may rely on established metrics and industry knowledge, the wisdom of the crowd in this market incorporates a broader range of information and subjective factors. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions, biases, or access to information, offering valuable insights into the potential for unexpected results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of a specific music video achieving the runner-up position. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. This creates a real-time probability distribution based on the collective judgment of participants, offering a unique view compared to static polls or expert opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official YouTube statistics for the daily music video that achieves the runner-up position in global views on September 15, 2026. The data will be sourced from publicly available YouTube analytics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final results and settlement details on Kalshi following the official announcement.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Unexpected viral trends, major artist announcements, or significant marketing campaigns related to specific music videos could all influence trader sentiment. Positive or negative press coverage, critical acclaim, or controversy surrounding a particular video could also lead to shifts in the odds. Furthermore, changes in YouTube’s algorithm or viewing habits could impact the visibility of certain videos, affecting their potential to achieve the runner-up position. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market.
