TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Participants can speculate on whether particular songs or artists will secure this ranking, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends.
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for October 30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video; resolution occurs if the designated video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome for each depends solely on the performance of its respective video. Neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and references to YouTube are used descriptively without implying affiliation or endorsement. The chart data must be publicly available and officially published by YouTube to validate outcomes.
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional polls or expert predictions, potentially incorporating a wider range of factors and real-time information. While analysts might focus on established popularity or critical acclaim, the market reflects the aggregated views of many individuals, potentially identifying under-appreciated contenders or anticipating shifts in public taste. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market perceives information differently than conventional wisdom.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which music video receives the second-highest number of views on YouTube within a 24-hour period following the specified date. The final result will be determined by publicly available data from YouTube's official statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome. Traders should monitor official YouTube data as the resolution date approaches to stay informed.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Unexpected viral trends, major endorsements from influential figures, or significant media coverage of a particular music video could all shift public attention and impact the perceived probability of each outcome. Furthermore, any controversies or unexpected events surrounding the artists or videos themselves could also influence trading activity. Monitoring social media sentiment, music charts, and news reports related to the featured music videos will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to Nov 13, 2026.