TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Dai Dai
- Kalshi
Dai Dai - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 31, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Siya Ram Video Song | Mahakavya Shri Ramayan Katha | Javed Ali | Anjali Arora, Dev Sharma | 25 Sept
@SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie
Barsaat Mein Aaya (Official Video) - Mr Dutt | Tanu Rawat | New Haryanvi Songs 2026
Description
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Each market represents a different song or artist, and the outcome depends on the chart ranking of that particular video on the specified day.
Kalshi
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for August 30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and resolution hinges on whether that video secures the #2 spot on the chart for that date. All markets share the same evaluation criteria but apply to different songs or artists. Importantly, these markets are independent of YouTube endorsement; references to YouTube are used descriptively and do not imply any affiliation or approval from the platform. The outcome for each market is binary—Yes if the designated video ranks #2, No otherwise—making this a straightforward, chart-based resolution process.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect the aggregated expectations of active traders who bet on outcomes daily. While analysts may publish their views through media or research reports, prediction market prices update continuously based on real money flow. This creates a dynamic, crowd-sourced probability that can diverge from or align with expert predictions, especially as new music drops or viral trends emerge.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official YouTube announcement and associated media coverage will determine which artist is formally recognized as the runner-up for that day’s global music video charts.
Key signals that could shift this market include major music releases, viral social media trends, award show nominations, or high-profile performances that boost an artist’s visibility. Any unexpected surge in viewership or a competitor’s drop-off might also cause traders to re-evaluate probabilities, leading to rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as new information emerges.
