TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Each market corresponds to a different song or artist, with the outcome determined by YouTube's official ranking data for that day.
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for August 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the outcome resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. The resolution relies solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data, with all markets sharing the same evaluation criteria and timeline. Secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
Currently, this market’s implied probability reflects trader expectations for which music video might claim the runner-up spot. While analyst forecasts aren’t directly integrated, many industry watchers look to this market as a real-time gauge of crowd-sourced sentiment. Traders often compare these odds to expert commentary and viewership trends to spot potential mispricings or shifts in public favor before Sep 9, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official YouTube Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for August 26, 2026 is verified against credible public sources. The runner-up position is determined solely by YouTube’s published chart data for that date, and the market settles accordingly.
Key signals include early viewership spikes, social media buzz around competing music videos, and any last-minute releases or promotions by artists that could boost viewer engagement. Major developments such as viral moments, platform algorithm changes, or unexpected controversies may also shift trader sentiment and move odds in this market as Sep 9, 2026 approaches.