TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity of various artistic releases on a given day, offering insight into trending content across cultures and genres.
The event determines the outcome based on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global ranking for August 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that particular video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets share the same resolution criterion but apply to different musical works, each evaluated independently against the same ranking metric. None of the markets imply endorsement from YouTube, and references to YouTube are used descriptively without suggesting affiliation or official sanction.
Analyst forecasts often provide early insights, but this market reflects real-time trader sentiment. While analysts may highlight expected trends, the odds here adjust dynamically based on emerging data and betting patterns. This creates a unique view that can diverge from traditional forecasts, especially as the Sep 8, 2026 date approaches and new information emerges.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, once official YouTube data confirms the final rankings for the specified period. The outcome is verified against credible public sources that report the global music video performance metrics, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Key signals include major music releases, viral video trends, and shifts in viewership patterns on YouTube. Awards, media coverage, and social media buzz around competing artists can also impact expectations. As Sep 8, 2026 approaches, any last-minute changes in view counts or public attention will likely cause noticeable movement in this market’s odds.