TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Participants speculate on whether particular songs or artists will secure this ranking, reflecting viewer engagement and popularity trends.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its specified music video ranks exactly #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for August 22, 2026. All markets operate independently, with no interdependence between them. Each outcome is determined solely by YouTube's official chart data for that date. Participants are reminded that these markets and products are not endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube are used descriptively only, without implying affiliation or endorsement.
On Kalshi, this market currently reflects trader sentiment through its probability pricing. Analyst forecasts for the YouTube music video runner-up often focus on current chart performance and artist momentum, which can align with or diverge from market odds. While analysts may emphasize recent viral trends or pre-release hype, traders in this market incorporate real-time betting data and short-term speculation. The difference between analyst predictions and market odds can highlight areas where public betting enthusiasm diverges from expert evaluations, offering insight into crowd-sourced expectations for August 22, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official YouTube data for August 22, 2026 will determine which artist finished directly behind the top video, closing the market and paying out winners accordingly.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Sep 5, 2026. Major music video releases or controversies involving leading artists often cause rapid adjustments. Performance metrics such as view counts, engagement rates, and YouTube trending placements also heavily influence trader decisions. Additionally, any last-minute collaborations or high-profile endorsements might sway market sentiment. As the August 22, 2026 deadline approaches, real-time updates from the platform’s trading activity will reflect these evolving dynamics, making this market responsive to both organic growth and sudden media attention.