TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Each market represents a different song or artist, and the outcome depends on YouTube's official ranking data for that day.
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for August 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and resolution hinges on whether that video ranks exactly #2 on the designated chart. All markets operate independently, with no interdependence between them. The secondary rules clarify that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, emphasizing the absence of formal affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the event organizer. The outcome for each market is binary—resolving to 'Yes' if the specified video secures the #2 spot and 'No' otherwise—based solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data for the specified date.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more nuanced view of crowd sentiment. While analysts may highlight certain artists based on recent performance or media buzz, traders in this market incorporate a wider range of factors, including viewership trends and historical chart performance. The resulting probability can diverge noticeably from traditional forecasts, especially as new data emerges in the weeks leading up to the final chart.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official YouTube Daily Music Video Global chart for August 21, 2026, will determine the runner-up, and the market will close based on that published ranking. No additional interpretation or judgment is required beyond the chart data made public that day.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before it closes. Major music releases, viral social media moments, or high-profile performances scheduled near the chart date can dramatically alter trader expectations. Additionally, any controversy or significant media coverage involving competing artists often creates rapid price adjustments. Weekly chart previews or early indicators from YouTube analytics may also cause short-term swings as traders react to early momentum.