TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Each market focuses on a different song or artist, with the outcome determined by YouTube's official ranking data for that day.
The event determines the runner-up position on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for August 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific music video, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that video ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets share the same resolution criteria but apply to different songs or artists. The resolution relies solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data, and no endorsement or affiliation with YouTube is implied through these markets or their associated products.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a blend of popular opinion and trader speculation. Analysts may weigh factors like recent viewership trends and artist momentum, while traders in this market incorporate those insights alongside real-time betting patterns. Discrepancies can arise when viral moments or last-minute controversies shift public perception, making this market a dynamic alternative to traditional expert predictions.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official YouTube Global Daily Music Video chart for August 17, 2026 will determine the runner-up, and the market will close based on that published ranking. No additional interpretation is needed — the result is drawn directly from the platform’s authoritative data.
Market movement will likely hinge on major YouTube chart shifts, high-profile music releases, viral social media trends, and media coverage leading up to August 17, 2026. A sudden surge in views for an artist’s video, a controversial remark from a leading contender, or a last-minute collaboration could all reshape trader expectations. Any event that alters the perceived likelihood of finishing second will push odds in this market.