TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which specific music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a particular date. It reflects viewer engagement and popularity of music videos on a given day, showcasing trends in global digital content consumption.
The event determines whether any of the listed music videos ranks exactly #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for August 16, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific song or track title, and resolution depends solely on YouTube's official chart ranking for that date. All markets share identical secondary disclaimers clarifying that references to YouTube are purely descriptive and imply no endorsement or affiliation between YouTube and the market operator. The outcome for each market is binary—resolving to 'Yes' only if its respective title occupies the #2 position, otherwise 'No'—with no additional performance thresholds or qualifying criteria beyond chart placement.
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on surveys or qualitative judgment, this market’s odds reflect the aggregated bets of active traders on Kalshi. Where analysts might highlight promotional momentum or artist popularity, the market price incorporates real-time trading activity and can shift rapidly with new content drops, social media trends, or streaming numbers, often showing a more immediate — but not always accurate — consensus view.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. On the specified date, YouTube’s Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for August 16, 2026 will be examined, and the song ranked immediately below the top entry will set the result.
Key signals include major music releases or viral moments by competing artists, YouTube chart updates, and promotional campaigns that boost viewer engagement. Any surprise collaborations, featured performances, or platform algorithm changes could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, real-time streaming spikes or social media trends in the weeks leading up to August 16 may cause rapid price swings as participants adjust their bets.