TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which music video secures the second position on YouTube's global daily chart for a specific date. Each market corresponds to a different song, with the outcome determined by YouTube's official ranking data for August 12, 2026.
The event determines the runner-up music video on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for August 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific song, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that song ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that date. All markets share the same resolution criterion but apply to different songs, allowing participants to speculate on which track will achieve this ranking. The resolution relies solely on YouTube's publicly available chart data, and all references to YouTube are purely descriptive, with no endorsement implied.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a blend of crowd wisdom and real-time trading dynamics. While analysts may issue their projections based on historical data and trends, traders in this market adjust prices instantly in reaction to new clues, social media buzz, and viewing metrics, often creating tighter or more divergent estimates.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official YouTube results for the Daily Music Video Global will determine the winner and runner-up, closing the market and fixing final payouts for all positions.
Key signals that could shift this market include major social media reactions to video releases, surprise collaborations or features that boost certain artists, and any last-minute changes in viewing trends or platform algorithms. As the August 12 date approaches, any announcement or viral moment tied to the competing videos may cause rapid price swings.