TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which specific music video achieves the second-highest position on YouTube's global daily chart for a particular date. Participants are speculating on the popularity and reach of various musical releases as measured by viewer engagement metrics.
The event determines whether any of the listed music videos occupy the runner-up position on YouTube's Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for August 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct musical entry, with resolution contingent upon that specific video ranking exactly #2 on the specified chart for the designated date. All markets operate independently; the outcome for one does not affect others. Neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and references to YouTube are used descriptively to indicate the source of chart data, not to imply any formal partnership or sponsorship.
On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the YouTube music video runner-up market through continuous bidding and asking. The current implied probability reflects collective expectations of which artist will finish second in global views for their video released on August 10, 2026. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Volume and recent trading activity offer insight into market confidence and uncertainty. As the event date approaches, early leaders and unexpected releases can cause rapid shifts in pricing dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The runner-up for the August 10, 2026, Daily Music Video Global on YouTube will be determined by official YouTube data and widely reported results, closing this market definitively.
Several signals could influence this market before Aug 24, 2026. Major artist announcements, promotional strategies, and viral moments may boost viewership for specific contenders. Platform algorithm changes on YouTube might also alter how videos gain exposure. Competitor performance — especially from the top expected finisher — can reshape expectations for the runner-up position. Any last-minute releases or controversies surrounding high-profile artists would likely trigger rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders reassess probabilities.