TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Rune Eaters vs. Team Falcons
kalshi
limitless

Who will win Rune Eaters vs. Team Falcons?

Volume:
$16,852

Team Falcons

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 8:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Team Falcons

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,753
N/A
N/A
$3,444
Settled
Yes
limitless

Team Falcons

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rune Eaters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,321
N/A
N/A
$7,897
Settled
No
limitless

Rune Eaters

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,580
N/A
N/A
$3,405
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on the outcome of a Dota 2 match between Rune Eaters and Team Falcons scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT as part of the Esports World Cup 2026. Markets exist on multiple platforms with varying resolution criteria and outcome options.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical tautology where all possible outcomes (Rune Eaters win, Team Falcons win, or Tie) resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable and meaningless. Limitless markets have standard outcome-based resolution logic.Hero tip: The Kalshi market is broken and should not be traded. It will always resolve YES regardless of the match result. Only trade Limitless markets, which properly distinguish between Team Falcons win (YES), Rune Eaters win (YES), and Draw (YES) as separate binary outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market contains three conditions that all resolve to YES: (1) Rune Eaters wins EWC 2026 → YES, (2) Team Falcons wins EWC 2026 → YES, (3) Tie wins EWC 2026 → YES. This creates a guaranteed YES resolution regardless of actual match outcome, rendering the market logically incoherent and unresolvable.
  • Limitless: Three separate binary markets with coherent outcome-based resolution: Team Falcons market resolves YES if Team Falcons wins, Rune Eaters market resolves YES if Rune Eaters wins, Draw market resolves YES if match ends in draw. All resolve NO or Other if conditions not met or no official result by August 8, 2026 23:59 UTC.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Esports World Cup 2026 Dota 2 match between Rune Eaters and Team Falcons scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Each potential outcome—Rune Eaters victory, Team Falcons victory, or a tie—corresponds to a separate market that resolves to Yes if that outcome occurs. The resolution is determined solely by the official match result from the Esports World Cup 2026 tournament.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between Team Falcons and Rune Eaters in the Esports World Cup 2026, scheduled for Jul 8, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 8, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus—buy and sell pressure from participants with real capital at stake. This market reflects pure trader belief, free from the margin-building that sportsbooks apply. Comparing this market's odds to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal where public perception diverges from professional bookmaking, often highlighting value opportunities for informed bettors.

Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in liquidity, user base composition, and fee structures naturally create pricing gaps. Kalshi may attract traders with stronger conviction on Team Falcons, pushing their odds higher, while Limitless might reflect a more cautious or balanced participant pool. Order book depth and trading volume also vary between platforms—thinner liquidity on one venue can lead to wider bid-ask spreads and stale pricing. These gaps typically narrow as traders arbitrage between platforms, but temporary divergences offer opportunities for cross-platform traders.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injuries, recent team performance, and head-to-head matchup history. Coaching changes or strategic shifts can also shift trader conviction significantly. Media coverage and expert analysis often trigger repricing as new perspectives reach the market. Momentum from related tournaments or leagues may influence sentiment. As the event date approaches, any official statements from either team or governing bodies can cause sharp moves. Watch for trading volume spikes, which often precede or accompany major price shifts.