TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This event refers to the Rugby's Greatest Rivalry match between South Africa and New Zealand, scheduled for September 12 at 5:00PM ET. The result after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time, will be used. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, the markets will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If it is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, the Draw outcome will resolve Yes and both team outcomes will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official World Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This event refers to the Rugby's Greatest Rivalry match between South Africa and New Zealand, scheduled for September 12 at 5:00PM ET. The result after 80 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time, will be used. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count. If the match is postponed, the markets will remain open for the rescheduled fixture. If it is canceled, abandoned without an official regulation-time result, or delayed more than 7 days without beginning, the Draw outcome will resolve Yes and both team outcomes will resolve No. Resolution will be based on official World Rugby results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd approach, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. It's common to see this market odds adjust more rapidly to news and information than traditional sportsbooks, especially regarding team form or key player injuries. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to specialized modeling, this market can become more accurate as the event approaches and more traders participate, incorporating a wider range of data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in an outcome, the higher the share price will climb, and vice-versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that reflects collective intelligence. The current price indicates the market's aggregate forecast for the South Africa vs. New Zealand rugby rivalry.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the rugby match between South Africa and New Zealand. Specifically, the outcome will reflect which team wins the match, or if the match ends in a draw. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding player injuries to key athletes on either team would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, based on recent match results, could also influence trading activity. Any announcements related to coaching changes or strategic shifts could also move the market. Furthermore, public sentiment and expert analysis, if they deviate significantly from the current market price, could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their forecasts for the South Africa vs. New Zealand rugby rivalry.