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RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais?

Volume:
$434,533

Olympique Lyonnais

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 6:57 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Olympique Lyonnais

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$257,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

LYO

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$35,908
$24,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
7%
20%
Yes 7¢No 93¢
—
$144
$4,241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

AND

View
1%
32%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$192
$6,354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

RSC Anderlecht

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lyon wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,330
N/A
N/A
$7,791
Settled
No
kalshi

Lyon wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,056
N/A
N/A
$3,585
Settled
No
kalshi

Anderlecht wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,268
N/A
N/A
$2,097
Settled
No
kalshi

Lyon wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,171
N/A
N/A
$1,624
Settled
No
kalshi

Anderlecht wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$514
N/A
N/A
$514
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Europa League soccer match between RSC Anderlecht and Olympique Lyonnais, specifically whether Olympique Lyonnais will win on September 16, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Olympique Lyonnais winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, and will resolve based on the result reported by https://www.uefa.com/. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 16, 2026, to see if Olympique Lyonnais secures a victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket focuses on basic win/draw/loss outcomes, while Kalshi offers markets contingent on specific margins of victory.Hero tip: Consider the margin of victory when trading Kalshi markets. A simple win isn't sufficient for resolution; a specific margin is required.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on whether Anderlecht, Lyon, or a draw occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: "If RSC Anderlecht wins, this market will resolve to "Yes"."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on whether Anderlecht or Lyon wins by a margin exceeding a specified threshold (1.5 or 2.5 goals) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: "If Anderlecht wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between RSC Anderlecht and Olympique Lyonnais.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for either team winning the Anderlecht vs Lyon Europa League match scheduled for September 16, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Anderlecht wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Lyon wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between RSC Anderlecht and Olympique Lyonnais.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to ensure profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when there's significant public information available. Furthermore, the continuous trading in prediction markets allows odds to react quickly to new information, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment than fixed sportsbook lines. This market provides a unique perspective on the potential result.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Anderlecht vs. Lyon match. Trading mechanisms also differ; Polymarket operates with a continuous trading model, while Kalshi may use a different approach. These variations in user composition and market structure can lead to discrepancies in price discovery. Additionally, differing liquidity levels on each platform can influence price volatility and create temporary divergences in the perceived probability of each outcome.