TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Carlos Sanchez Jover in the Royan, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Carlos Sanchez Jover. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Sanchez Jover' if Carlos Sanchez Jover advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Carlos Sanchez Jover in the Royan, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Carlos Sanchez Jover. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Sanchez Jover' if Carlos Sanchez Jover advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this market, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd of traders disagrees with professional oddsmakers. Persistent gaps may signal either mispricing or genuine uncertainty that each venue weights differently.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome—whether Alcala Gurri or Sanchez Jover wins—reflects the cumulative trades of all participants, with the implied probability derived from the share price at any moment. As new information surfaces or trader conviction shifts, prices adjust in real time, ensuring the market continuously reprices risk and opportunity.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the boxing match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official fight result—whether by decision, knockout, or other standard boxing conclusion. Until that point, traders can adjust positions as fight conditions, fighter news, or other developments shift their expectations about who will emerge victorious.
Several catalysts could shift prices significantly before the bout. Injury reports, training footage, or public statements from either fighter's camp may alter perceptions of readiness or form. Weigh-in results, changes in betting odds at major sportsbooks, or analyst commentary could also trigger repricing. Closer to fight day, any last-minute venue or rule changes, or shifts in fighter motivation, would likely prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust this market's odds accordingly.