TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Royan, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feldbausch' if Kilian Feldbausch advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Kilian Feldbausch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kilian Feldbausch and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Royan, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feldbausch' if Kilian Feldbausch advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Kilian Feldbausch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders see value that bookmakers have mispriced. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential analytical edges.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on the outcome, and the current price reflects the collective assessment of all active traders. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, the probability estimate updates in real time, ensuring the market price stays responsive to changing expectations about the match result.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, determining which trader positions are correct. Until that date, prices may fluctuate as new information, player form, or other developments influence trader expectations about the final score and winner.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before Jun 24, 2026. Player injury announcements, recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and court surface conditions are key catalysts. Media coverage, betting line movements from sportsbooks, and expert commentary may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any changes to tournament scheduling, weather delays, or unexpected player withdrawals could trigger repricing as the market absorbs new information and recalibrates its probability estimate.