TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a Belgian Pro League soccer match between Royal Charleroi SC and Union Saint-Gilloise on September 5, 2026. Markets exist for Charleroi winning, Union Saint-Gilloise winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Belgium Pro League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between Royal Charleroi SC and Union Saint-Gilloise.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Royal Charleroi vs Union Gilloise professional Belgian Pro League soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team wins in regular time; a tied result resolves the 'Tie' market to 'Yes.' If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, which strictly considers the standing after regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This market's odds reflect what participants believe is the true probability of each outcome, potentially revealing insights not captured by sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from continuous trading, adjusting rapidly to new information, whereas sportsbook odds are typically updated less frequently. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new developments emerge.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Belgian Pro League. Trading volume and liquidity can also differ significantly between the two, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting and adjusting odds on each platform—order books versus automated market makers, for example—can lead to price discrepancies. These differences in user behavior, liquidity, and market mechanics contribute to the observed price variations for this market.