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Round of 32: Matches to go to Penalties
kalshi

Round of 32: Matches to go to Penalties

Volume:
$193,985

3+ matches

 - Kalshi

3+ matches - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 9:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

3+ matches

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,543
N/A
N/A
$16,846
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1+ matches

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,972
N/A
N/A
$3,444
Settled
Yes
kalshi

2+ matches

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,805
N/A
N/A
$1,862
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4+ matches

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$71,128
N/A
N/A
$63,621
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ matches

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,542
N/A
N/A
$18,546
Settled
No
kalshi

10+ matches

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,053
N/A
N/A
$20,048
Settled
No
kalshi

7+ matches

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,909
N/A
N/A
$15,199
Settled
No
kalshi

6+ matches

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,606
N/A
N/A
$11,629
Settled
No
kalshi

12+ matches

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,089
N/A
N/A
$10,089
Settled
No
kalshi

8+ matches

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,339
N/A
N/A
$4,333
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

During the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, matches that remain tied after regular and extra time will be decided by penalty shootouts. This event tracks how many of these early-round matches are ultimately settled through this method.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the total number of Round of 32 matches in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup that remain tied after extra time and are subsequently decided by penalty shootout. Each outcome corresponds to a specific threshold: the market resolves Yes if at least the specified minimum number of matches go to penalties. For example, the '1+ matches' outcome resolves Yes if one or more matches are decided by penalty shootout, the '2+ matches' outcome resolves Yes if two or more matches are decided by penalty shootout, and so forth through the '12+ matches' outcome. The resolution is based solely on the count of penalty shootout decisions in the Round of 32 stage.

Frequently asked questions

The Round of 32: Matches to go to Penalties dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this event. You can monitor current market probability, 24-hour trading volume of $19,530, and cumulative volume of $193,985 to gauge trader conviction. The dashboard displays how odds shift as new information emerges, allowing you to compare current pricing against your own forecast and identify potential trading opportunities before market resolution on Jul 4, 2026.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader beliefs and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on team form, injury reports, and historical penalty shootout data, prediction markets incorporate real-time sentiment and betting flows. Comparing Kalshi odds to published expert predictions can reveal where the crowd sees edge or where consensus is weak. Monitor both sources through Jul 4, 2026 to identify mispricings and refine your own assessment of penalty likelihood in Round of 32 matches.

On Kalshi, Round of 32: Matches to go to Penalties is priced as a binary contract reflecting trader consensus on whether qualifying matches will require penalty resolution. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move based on order flow, team news, and historical penalty patterns in knockout football. Traders buy YES if they expect penalties or NO if they expect regulation or extra-time resolution. Kalshi's continuous order book allows you to enter or exit at any time before the market closes on Jul 4, 2026, with pricing precision down to individual percentage points.

The Round of 32: Matches to go to Penalties market resolves on Jul 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official match outcomes across all Round of 32 fixtures in the tournament. The market settles based on whether the specified number or proportion of matches proceed to penalty shootouts. Traders should monitor fixture schedules and live match results as the event date approaches to anticipate resolution timing and final outcome determination.

Key catalysts include team injury announcements, tactical shifts favoring defensive play, and historical penalty conversion rates of competing nations. Weather conditions on match day—rain, wind, or extreme heat—can influence game flow and likelihood of extra time. Pre-tournament analysis of squad depth and goalkeeper quality also moves odds. Media narratives around specific matchups, coaching changes, or recent tournament momentum can shift trader sentiment. Monitor team news and expert commentary closely as Jul 4, 2026 approaches to anticipate price swings driven by new information.