TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Rotari Alexei and Culaghin Dmitri in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rotari Alexei' if Rotari Alexei wins against Culaghin Dmitri. This market will resolve to 'Culaghin Dmitri' if Culaghin Dmitri wins against Rotari Alexei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Rotari Alexei and Culaghin Dmitri in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for September 12 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rotari Alexei' if Rotari Alexei wins against Culaghin Dmitri. This market will resolve to 'Culaghin Dmitri' if Culaghin Dmitri wins against Rotari Alexei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd approach, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to collectively assess probabilities. Early in the market's life, you might see discrepancies, but as more information becomes available and trading volume increases, the odds in this market often converge towards what many consider the 'true' probability of an outcome. However, sportsbooks may react faster to breaking news than this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular fighter, the higher the price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price of shares indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the probability of each fighter winning the Rotari vs. Culaghin fight.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rotari vs. Culaghin fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The fighter who is officially declared the winner will determine the outcome of this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for determining the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the fight takes place. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches would likely cause price movements. Additionally, any significant betting activity or analysis from respected fight analysts could also impact the probabilities reflected in this market. Public perception and media coverage leading up to the fight can also play a role.