TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Rosenborg and Tromsoe, focusing on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The markets will determine whether Rosenborg wins, Tromsoe wins, or the game ends in a tie. If the match is significantly altered or canceled, a fair resolution will be applied based on the specific rules.
The event resolves based on the result of the Rosenborg vs Tromsoe professional Eliteserien soccer match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Rosenborg win, Tromsoe win, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the regulation time result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the mispricing. It’s common to see initial differences that narrow as more information becomes available and trading activity increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Rosenborg vs Tromsoe match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The market depth and order book visibility allow traders to assess the potential impact of their trades.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Rosenborg vs Tromsoe match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions on Kalshi after the event concludes and the results are validated. The platform will then determine payouts based on the final outcome and the prices at which contracts were traded.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all impact the perceived probabilities of different outcomes. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a key player being ruled out, would likely cause a rapid adjustment in prices. Any information that alters the assessment of each team’s chances of winning will likely drive movement in this market until the event concludes.