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406,019
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Closed: Aug 5, 4:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the first team to score in the Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK match scheduled for August 14, 2026. The markets will resolve based on which team scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or if neither team scores.
In the upcoming match between Rosenborg BK and Viking FK, scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rosenborg BK" if Rosenborg BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Viking FK" if Viking FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
If Ferencvarosi Budapest records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Gornik Zabrze professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gornik Zabrze records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Gornik Zabrze professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Ferencvarosi Budapest vs Gornik Zabrze professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, more granular insights than traditional sportsbook lines, especially for niche questions like this market. Traders can express beliefs in percentages, while sportsbooks typically use decimal or fractional odds. The difference can also show up in implied probabilities — for example, prediction markets might price a tighter race, with smaller gaps between outcomes, because they update continuously based on new information and bettor activity.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because of differences in user base, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds temporarily. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure and minimum trade sizes, which can influence how traders place bets and, consequently, how probabilities are priced. These factors often create short-term mismatches until the market finds equilibrium.
Injuries to key attacking players, weather delays, or strategic lineup changes could all shift this market as the match nears. Media analysis and pre-game betting trends often signal shifts in sentiment, especially on platforms with higher liquidity. Any news that alters the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first — from tactical adjustments to recent form — can cause rapid price movements, so monitoring credible sports news sources is essential.