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Rory McIlroy: Round 1 Hole Scores
kalshi

What will Rory McIlroy's Round 1 hole scores be at the 2026 Open Championship?

Volume:
$70,270

Hole 15: Birdie or better

 - Kalshi

Hole 15: Birdie or better - Kalshi

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 2:56 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hole 15: Birdie or better

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,638
N/A
N/A
$2,971
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 9: Birdie or better

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,345
N/A
N/A
$3,021
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 6: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,769
N/A
N/A
$2,648
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 18: Birdie or better

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,103
N/A
N/A
$2,021
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 13: Birdie or better

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,751
N/A
N/A
$1,174
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 14: Bogey or worse

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,090
N/A
N/A
$1,090
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 12: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,067
N/A
N/A
$767
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 17: Bogey or worse

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$816
N/A
N/A
$780
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 1: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$723
N/A
N/A
$697
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 11: Bogey or worse

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$698
N/A
N/A
$688
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 8: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$669
N/A
N/A
$669
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 3: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$651
N/A
N/A
$651
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 4: Bogey or worse

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$651
N/A
N/A
$651
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 10: Bogey or worse

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
$637
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 16: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$635
N/A
N/A
$635
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 5: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$580
N/A
N/A
$580
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 7: Bogey or worse

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$580
N/A
N/A
$580
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 2: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
$570
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 17: Birdie or better

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,321
N/A
N/A
$4,321
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 2: Birdie or better

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,993
N/A
N/A
$3,782
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 8: Birdie or better

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,470
N/A
N/A
$3,348
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 12: Birdie or better

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,285
N/A
N/A
$3,285
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 14: Birdie or better

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,986
N/A
N/A
$2,949
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 4: Birdie or better

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,875
N/A
N/A
$2,765
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 11: Birdie or better

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,461
N/A
N/A
$2,459
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 54

Description

Rory McIlroy will compete in Round 1 of the 2026 The Open Championship, playing all 18 holes. These markets track his individual score on each hole, measured relative to par, to determine whether he achieves a birdie or better, even par, or bogey or worse on each specific hole.

Kalshi

McIlroy's hole scores are measured relative to par for each of the 18 holes in Round 1 of the 2026 The Open Championship. Scores are evaluated on a relative scale where lower (more negative) scores are better. A birdie or better outcome includes any score below par (e.g., -1, -2, etc.), representing one or more strokes under the hole's par. Even par (E) represents a score exactly equal to the hole's par. A bogey or worse outcome includes any score above par (e.g., +1, +2, etc.), representing one or more strokes over the hole's par. Each hole's outcome is independent and resolves based on McIlroy's actual recorded score for that specific hole during Round 1 play.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the McIlroy Round 1 hole scores market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for individual hole outcomes during Rory McIlroy's first round. The dashboard displays current odds for specific holes, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume of $5,592 to help traders monitor market sentiment. This market allows participants to predict the exact score McIlroy will record on each hole, with odds updating as new trades execute. The interface provides transparency into which outcomes are attracting the most trader interest and capital.

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs across many participants. This market's odds can move more dynamically in response to breaking news, course conditions, or player performance updates. Comparing the two reveals whether professional bettors and casual traders are pricing McIlroy's hole scores differently than the broader betting market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each hole outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches trades in real time, and the last executed price becomes the current market odds. Traders can see the full depth of buy and sell orders, allowing them to assess liquidity and execute at their preferred price. This transparent pricing mechanism ensures that odds reflect genuine supply and demand rather than algorithmic adjustments alone.

This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once Rory McIlroy completes Round 1 and the hole-by-hole scores are verified against credible public sources. The outcome for each hole is determined by the official score recorded for that specific hole during his first round. Traders who correctly predicted the hole score will receive their payout based on the final verified result. Resolution timing depends on when official scoring is published and confirmed by the tournament.

Course conditions such as weather, wind, and pin placements can shift odds as traders reassess difficulty for each hole. Real-time scoring updates during Round 1 will cause significant price swings, especially as McIlroy progresses through the course. Pre-tournament news about McIlroy's form, recent practice rounds, or equipment changes may influence early trading. Competitor performance and leaderboard position could also affect trader sentiment about his scoring pace, indirectly moving odds on individual hole outcomes.