TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 4:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Cristiano Ronaldo is listed in Portugal's starting XI for the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 23, 2026, 17:00 UTC, as recorded in the Lineup section of the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 23, 2026, 12:00 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Cristiano Ronaldo is listed in Portugal's starting XI for the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 23, 2026, 17:00 UTC, as recorded in the Lineup section of the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 23, 2026, 12:00 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and manage risk, while this market prices the outcome continuously based on supply and demand from participants. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional betting markets, though both aim to reflect the true probability of Ronaldo starting.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders that determine the current odds. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the consensus probability among active participants, updating in real time as new trades execute. Wider bid-ask spreads indicate lower liquidity, while tighter spreads suggest strong trader interest and confidence in the market's pricing accuracy.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the match between Ronaldo's team and Uzbekistan concludes and official team sheets are confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources, including official team announcements and major sports reporting. Traders holding positions on either side will see their contracts settle based on whether Ronaldo appears in the starting lineup as listed by the governing federation or broadcast partners.
Key catalysts include injury reports, official team news, and coaching statements about Ronaldo's availability and fitness. Pre-match press conferences often trigger sharp moves as managers confirm or hint at lineup decisions. Media speculation, social media updates from official team accounts, and changes in tournament circumstances—such as suspension or tactical shifts—can all shift trader positioning. Close to kickoff, any official squad announcements will typically drive the market toward its final price.