TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming UEFA Nations League soccer match between Romania and Bosnia and Herzegovina. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the competitive nature and scoring trends typical in professional soccer matches.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 28, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is assessed based on the combined score after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the actual goals exceed the specified threshold for any given market. All markets operate independently, and the resolution hinges solely on the official match result as recorded by the governing league. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market odds can shift more rapidly and accurately than traditional sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in terms of forecast accuracy, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Romania vs Bosnia match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange contracts, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what it costs to own one contract predicting a specific total goals outcome, and therefore represents the market’s collective belief about its likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Romania vs Bosnia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the match – including any own goals and excluding extra time or penalty shootouts – will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the payouts to contract holders. Traders should monitor official match results to understand when the market has officially settled and their positions are finalized.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Romania or Bosnia and Herzegovina would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or widespread betting patterns, could influence the price of contracts in this market.