TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 12:08 PM EST
Kalshi
Roman Andres Burruchaga and Arthur Fery compete in a professional tennis match at the 2026 ATP Eastbourne tournament. The exact final set score of the match determines which outcome occurs.
This event covers the professional tennis match between Roman Andres Burruchaga and Arthur Fery in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round Of 32, with resolution based on the exact final set score. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific set score result: Burruchaga winning 2-0, Burruchaga winning 2-1, Fery winning 2-1, or Fery winning 2-0. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, it remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. In the event of a player retirement, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play will resolve accordingly; those that cannot be settled will resolve to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction across all participants on Kalshi, potentially offering a more granular view of exact-score probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, which typically offer limited exact-score betting options. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional bookmaker pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares corresponding to each exact scoreline. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last matched buy or sell order—and moves as new information or trader sentiment emerges. Shares are fractional and priced between 0 and 100 cents, with the sum of all outcome prices typically anchored near $1. This continuous pricing model allows you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the Burruchaga vs Fery event concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of the match, with all shares corresponding to the correct score paying out at full value and all other outcomes expiring worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Key catalysts include fighter or team roster announcements, injury reports, recent performance data, and expert analysis released before the event. Changes in training camp updates, betting line movements at major sportsbooks, and shifts in public sentiment on social media can all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, venue changes, or late-breaking news about either competitor's form may also trigger repricing. As the event date approaches, accumulating information typically narrows the range of plausible outcomes, concentrating probability on the most likely exact scores.