TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 4:51 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two competing teams aiming to score goals within the standard game duration, including any additional stoppage time at the end of the regulation period. The focus is on whether both teams manage to find the back of the net during this time frame. The outcome hinges solely on the scoring activity of the teams as it unfolds in the normal course of play.
If Roma and Atalanta both score a goal in the Roma vs Atalanta Serie A match originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in nuances not captured by standard sportsbook models, such as specific in-game dynamics or micro-trends. The resulting probability can appear more volatile or shifted compared to sportsbook lines, especially as new data emerges. This difference provides a unique perspective on expected outcomes, allowing users to compare market-driven forecasts against established sportsbook probabilities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader activity, where participants buy and sell contracts based on their expectations for the match outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate sentiment of market participants, with the chance percentage indicating the implied probability as set by Kalshi users through their trades.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether both Roma and Atalanta score at least one goal during the match, as officially recorded by match officials and reported through trusted sports news outlets.
Several signals could shift expectations for this market before Sep 5, 2026. Key team news — such as injuries, tactical changes, or form swings — may reshape trader views on both teams’ attacking capabilities. Market momentum can also flip on major in-play developments, like early goals or red cards. As the match approaches, updated polls, expert analysis, and betting trends may further influence trader positioning. Any last-minute announcements regarding player availability or weather conditions could also create noticeable movement in this market’s probability.