TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Coco Gauff will advance past Mayar Sherif in the Roland Garros WTA tournament. On Polymarket, the probability that Gauff completes the match victoriously stands at 96.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official WTA Tennis scores database. Watch for the match result on June 4, 2026, which will settle this contract based on the official outcome recorded at wtatennis.com.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than bookmaker models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs. For the Gauff versus Sherif match, comparing Polymarket probabilities to major sportsbooks like DraftKings or FanDuel can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers. These differences typically narrow as the match date approaches, but gaps may persist if one venue has superior information flow or different participant composition.
The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026, which corresponds to the scheduled completion of the match at Roland Garros. Resolution is determined by the official result recorded by the WTA and confirmed through reliable sports data sources. The outcome is binary: either Coco Gauff or Mayar Sherif will be credited with the victory. Once the match concludes and the result is verified, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on which shares they held. Early resolution may occur if the match is cancelled, retired, or deemed invalid by tournament officials.
Several factors could shift market prices before Jun 4, 2026. Recent tournament performance by either player, injury reports, or changes in fitness status will influence trader confidence. Court conditions at Roland Garros, such as clay speed and weather, may favor one player's style. Head-to-head history and surface-specific records often drive repricing as traders reassess matchup dynamics. Media narratives, betting syndicates entering the market, and large trades can trigger momentum shifts. Withdrawal or retirement by either player would trigger immediate repricing or early resolution. As match day approaches, late-breaking news about form, mental state, or external circumstances typically generates the most volatile price movements.