TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 25, 2026
Closed: May 31, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the first set of the Ignacio Buse versus Andrey Rublev Roland Garros ATP match will contain more or fewer than 8.5 games. On Polymarket, the over 8.5 games outcome is priced at 100.0%, while the over 9.5 games outcome stands at 0.4%. Resolution will be determined by the official ATP Tour scoring records. Watch for the match result on May 31, 2026, when the betting window closes and the final set game count becomes official.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Andrey Rublev in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Ignacio Buse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized crowd sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets price based on trader conviction and information flow. For the Buse vs Rublev match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident than professional oddsmakers. These differences typically narrow closer to match time as new information surfaces and arbitrage traders align prices.
On Polymarket, the Buse vs Rublev match is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 1 cent, with the implied probability derived from the current market price. Volume on Polymarket for this event totals $1,489,240, indicating active participation. The top outcome currently reflects market consensus, and prices update continuously as new trades execute, allowing real-time discovery of where the crowd believes the match outcome lies.
The Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev prediction market resolves on May 31, 2026, following the official conclusion of the match at Roland Garros. Resolution is determined by the official ATP and Roland Garros records of the match result. Traders should monitor the tournament schedule and any official announcements regarding match postponement, withdrawal, or disqualification, as these events could affect resolution timing and outcome determination.
Several factors could shift odds for the Buse vs Rublev match. Recent form and ranking updates for both players, injury reports or fitness concerns, head-to-head historical performance, court conditions at Roland Garros, and draw position relative to seeding all influence trader positioning. Weather forecasts, practice session reports, and pre-match commentary from analysts can trigger rapid repricing. Unexpected withdrawals or late scratches would cause immediate market movement. As the match date approaches, any official statements about player status or surface conditions typically drive volatility in prediction market prices.