TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
Another set of soccer teams will face off in a league fixture. The result hinges entirely on which side achieves a win during the regular match period, with no regard for extended play.
This event centers on the result of a professional soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026, featuring Roda and Waalwijk, to be decided after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market will resolve to a 'Yes' outcome for Roda if they win, for Waalwijk if they win, or for Tie if the game ends level. Extra time and penalty phases are not considered in determining the outcome. Should the match be cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original schedule, the market will instead resolve at a fair price. Kalshi emphasizes it holds no official connection to the league governing body, and all related trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view through trading activity, potentially leading to odds discrepancies. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, compared to sportsbook odds which may be slower to adjust.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Roda vs Waalwijk match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely result. Volume and order flow contribute to price discovery in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Roda vs Waalwijk match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Sep 26, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact expectations. Unexpected announcements, such as a key player being ruled out of the match, would likely cause significant price adjustments. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal shifts in sentiment and drive price movements. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential market fluctuations.