TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Cameron Young will finish in the top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic tournament on Kalshi, with the current probability set at 99.0%. The resolution source is based directly on the tournament results. The outcome will be determined by the final standings on August 16, 2026, marking the end of the competition window, and will reflect Cameron Young's position relative to his peers without any playoff mechanisms for ties.
Each market resolves to "Yes" if the associated golfer finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Rocket Classic. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate, the market resolves to "Fair Market Price" if the withdrawal occurs before teeing off, and to "No" if after teeing off. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, with Kalshi explicitly stating no affiliation with the PGA or the governing league, and all trademarks remaining the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post their own bids and asks. The current implied probability is set by the best available bid-ask spread, which adjusts instantly as new trades execute. This mechanism captures the collective wisdom of Kalshi traders as they react to news, performance updates, and field dynamics.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the tournament results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final leaderboard will determine which golfers finished inside the top ten, and that official list will settle all positions on Kalshi.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates or qualification changes for top-ranked players, weather forecasts affecting course difficulty, and live leaderboard movement during early tournament rounds. Any news that alters perceptions of who is likely to contention can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders reassess probabilities.