TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 5:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between RKSV Groene Ster and Amsterdamsche FC, scheduled for September 22, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning, or the game ending in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming KNVB Beker game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 22, 2026 between RKSV Groene Ster and Amsterdamsche FC.
The event determines the winner of a professional KNVB soccer match between Groene and Amsterdamsche FC scheduled for September 22, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If Groene secures a victory within this timeframe, the "Reg Time: Groene" market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Amsterdamsche FC achieves a win within regulation, the "Reg Time: Amsterdamsche FC" market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation time, the "Reg Time: Tie" market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively reflect regulation time outcomes and do not account for results from extra time, penalties, or other post-regulation scenarios.
Prediction market odds, as reflected in this market, often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of many participants. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers or react more quickly to breaking news. Comparing the two provides a broader view of potential outcomes for the RKSV Groene Ster vs. Amsterdamsche FC match.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can occur due to variations in trader participation, differing market structures, and the specific incentives each platform offers. For example, Polymarket might attract a different pool of traders than Kalshi, leading to varied interpretations of the same information. Additionally, the way fees are structured or the availability of leverage can influence pricing. These factors contribute to the dynamic nature of prediction markets and highlight the importance of considering multiple sources when assessing the likelihood of an outcome for the RKSV Groene Ster vs. Amsterdamsche FC match.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either RKSV Groene Ster or Amsterdamsche FC could shift the probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match could also influence the outcome and, consequently, the market price. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or shifts in public sentiment could affect trader behavior and lead to price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.