TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. ACF Fiorentina
Volume:
$1,483,657
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
RKS Raków Częstochowa, a Polish club, faces ACF Fiorentina, an Italian Serie A side, in a UEFA Conference League match scheduled for March 19, 2026. The match will be settled based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties considered.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Raków win, Fiorentina win, draw), where exactly one resolves YES. Kalshi defines three independent markets that can all resolve YES simultaneously if any outcome occurs, creating a logical contradiction where Kalshi's markets are not mutually exclusive.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge between Polymarket and Kalshi on this event. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES. On Kalshi, all three markets resolve YES regardless of outcome, making Kalshi's markets functionally identical and economically irrational. Verify Kalshi's market structure before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures three separate binary markets where each resolves YES or NO based on a single outcome. Only one market can resolve YES (Raków win OR Fiorentina win OR draw). Key quote: 'If RKS Raków Częstochowa wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and identical logic for Fiorentina and draw markets).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three markets that each resolve YES if any of the three outcomes occurs (Czestochowa wins, Fiorentina wins, or Tie wins). All three markets resolve YES simultaneously regardless of match result. Key quote: 'If Czestochowa wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Fiorentina wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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