TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 4:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between RKS Rakow Czestochowa and LKP Motor Lublin, scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RKS Rakow Czestochowa" if RKS Rakow Czestochowa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "LKP Motor Lublin" if LKP Motor Lublin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between RKS Rakow Czestochowa and LKP Motor Lublin, scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RKS Rakow Czestochowa" if RKS Rakow Czestochowa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "LKP Motor Lublin" if LKP Motor Lublin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. If sportsbooks heavily favor one team, you might see a different probability distribution here, as traders weigh various factors like team news, injuries, and even intangible momentum. It’s a useful comparison to see where the collective intelligence diverges from conventional wisdom.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular team to score first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving expectations of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the early lead.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Rakow Czestochowa versus LKP Motor Lublin match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the result, as this will trigger the settlement of all outstanding shares in this market. It’s important to note that any potential delays in official reporting could impact the resolution timeline.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Rakow Czestochowa or LKP Motor Lublin would likely cause shifts in the odds. Tactical changes announced by either manager, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis highlighting a specific team’s strengths or weaknesses, could all contribute to price movements. Keep an eye on sports news and team updates for potential catalysts.