TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Rio Ave and Sporting CP. Each market will resolve based on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, reflecting different levels of scoring intensity in the game.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Rio Ave vs Sporting CP professional Liga Portugal soccer match originally scheduled for August 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The thresholds represent incremental increments of goals needed for each respective market to settle as 'Yes'. No affiliation or endorsement by the Governing League or any official bodies is implied; all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often show tighter spreads and adjust more rapidly to new information. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting patterns and house margins, Kalshi prices are set purely by participant activity. The resulting probability can diverge noticeably from sportsbook implied probabilities, especially as match-specific news emerges. This difference provides traders with an alternative view of expected outcomes based on real-time market dynamics.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks to set the current odds. The top outcome’s implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all participants on Kalshi, with liquidity and volume of $140,993 influencing how tightly priced the market is.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the match will determine whether the over or under threshold has been met, closing this market based on the actual game result.
Several key signals could shift expectations in this market before Aug 29, 2026. Injuries to star players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions affecting match play can all influence goal-scoring probability estimates. Momentum swings during the match itself — such as red cards or early goal differentials — often trigger rapid market adjustments. Additionally, broader team performance trends and head-to-head historical data may reshape trader outlooks as the event approaches, especially with any last-minute lineup announcements or tactical shifts.