TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Rio Ave FC and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora match originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Rio Ave FC and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora match originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
It's common to see differences between prediction market probabilities and those offered by traditional sportsbooks for the same event. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which isn’t present in a purely probabilistic prediction market like this one. Furthermore, prediction markets can reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of informed traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than those set by bookmakers. However, sportsbook odds are readily available for comparison and can offer a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Rio Ave vs. Estrela da Amadora match.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora match will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will reflect the exact score as determined by official sources and reported by sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Rio Ave FC or CF Estrela da Amadora could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from football analysts, might also cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths or the likelihood of specific scorelines could move this market.