TOTAL VOLUME:

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24H VOL:

$107,351,958

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora
limitless
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora?

Volume:
$717,703

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 4:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$193,273
N/A
N/A
$83,058
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora)

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.1¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Estrela Amadora

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$176,962
N/A
N/A
$50,881
Settled
No
polymarket

CF Estrela da Amadora

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Estrela

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rio Ave

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$159,956
N/A
N/A
$55,706
Settled
No
polymarket

Rio Ave FC

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Rio Ave

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.9¢
N/A
$1,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the Liga Portugal soccer match between Rio Ave FC and CF Estrela da Amadora. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregated from Limitless, Polymarket, and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on the official result reported by https://www.ligaportugal.pt/. Keep an eye on September 14, 2026, as this is the scheduled date for the match and will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation/No-Game resolution differs between Polymarket and Limitless.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a game being officially canceled *without* a result being declared when trading on these markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Limitless: If the game is canceled and no official result is recognized, the market resolves to 'NO'. "If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Monday, September 14, 2026 between Rio Ave FC and CF Estrela da Amadora.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora professional Liga Portugal soccer game scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Rio Ave wins, the 'Rio Ave' market resolves to Yes. If Estrela Amadora wins, the 'Estrela Amadora' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and do not include extra time or penalty shootouts.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 14, 2026, 17:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the collective predictions on the outcome of the Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora match within the Portuguese Liga Portugal. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $717,703, with $610,881 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of probabilities, as traders on each platform express their beliefs through buying and selling shares related to the event's potential outcomes. The dashboard provides a unified overview of this market, showing how predictions evolve as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This market’s odds reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders, potentially incorporating unique insights not fully captured by sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets allow for continuous price discovery as new information emerges, whereas sportsbook odds are typically adjusted less frequently. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading volumes, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which influences their predictions. Additionally, the liquidity and depth of the market on each platform can impact price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Rio Ave FC winning at approximately 58%, while Kalshi leans toward a different outcome. These discrepancies highlight the independent nature of each market and the diverse perspectives of their respective participants.