TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Liga Portugal soccer match between Rio Ave FC and CF Estrela da Amadora scheduled for March 15, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the match outcome: Rio Ave win, draw, and Estrela da Amadora win. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga Portugal statistics (ligaportugal.pt); credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Rio Ave FC win market resolves Yes if Rio Ave wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, No otherwise
- Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, No otherwise
- CF Estrela da Amadora win market resolves Yes if Estrela wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, No otherwise
- All markets exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from resolution scope
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game: Rio Ave win and Estrela win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on the rescheduled date
- Cancellation without makeup: Rio Ave win and Estrela win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
- Official stats delay: If Liga Portugal does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources
- Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based only on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official Liga Portugal statistics are published or credible reporting consensus is established, with a maximum 2-hour window post-match for official publication before fallback to consensus sourcesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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