TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 6:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Rihanna will accumulate more worldwide streams than Sabrina Carpenter during the May 22–28, 2026 tracking week on Luminate. On Kalshi, Rihanna's leading outcome stands at 99.0%, with Sabrina Carpenter at 1.0%. Resolution will be determined by Luminate's official worldwide streaming counts for that specific week, with results expected by June 1, 2026. Watch the May 22–28 tracking period closely, as the final stream counts during this window will determine the market outcome.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate worldwide streaming data for the May 22–28, 2026 measurement window. The outcome hinges on which artist—Rihanna or Sabrina Carpenter—records higher total streams across all platforms tracked by Luminate during that seven-day period. This includes all streaming sources and listener counts aggregated by Luminate's methodology, ensuring an objective, data-driven settlement based on verified industry metrics.
Key catalysts include new single or album releases from either artist during the measurement week, surprise features or collaborations, major playlist placements on Spotify or Apple Music, and tour or performance announcements. Social media momentum, TikTok virality, and award show appearances can drive streaming spikes. Chart debuts and radio play often correlate with streaming surges. Additionally, any unexpected artist news—health, personal, or professional—could shift listener attention. Real-time Luminate data leaks or industry reports during May 22–28 may also influence trader positioning as the outcome becomes clearer.