TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Entertainment
Rihanna vs Sabrina Carpenter streams this week?
kalshi

Rihanna vs Sabrina Carpenter streams this week?

Volume:
$203

Rihanna

 - Kalshi

Rihanna - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 6:01 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Rihanna

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
$182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sabrina Carpenter

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Rihanna will accumulate more worldwide streams than Sabrina Carpenter during the May 22–28, 2026 tracking week on Luminate. On Kalshi, Rihanna's leading outcome stands at 99.0%, with Sabrina Carpenter at 1.0%. Resolution will be determined by Luminate's official worldwide streaming counts for that specific week, with results expected by June 1, 2026. Watch the May 22–28 tracking period closely, as the final stream counts during this window will determine the market outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations, which often diverge from traditional music industry analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on historical streaming patterns, chart performance, and promotional activity, prediction markets incorporate live sentiment and betting flows. The current market pricing suggests traders are weighing recent release schedules, tour announcements, and playlist momentum. Comparing Kalshi odds to music media forecasts can reveal where consensus breaks and where informed traders see edge—particularly valuable given the compressed one-week measurement period.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate worldwide streaming data for the May 22–28, 2026 measurement window. The outcome hinges on which artist—Rihanna or Sabrina Carpenter—records higher total streams across all platforms tracked by Luminate during that seven-day period. This includes all streaming sources and listener counts aggregated by Luminate's methodology, ensuring an objective, data-driven settlement based on verified industry metrics.

Key catalysts include new single or album releases from either artist during the measurement week, surprise features or collaborations, major playlist placements on Spotify or Apple Music, and tour or performance announcements. Social media momentum, TikTok virality, and award show appearances can drive streaming spikes. Chart debuts and radio play often correlate with streaming surges. Additionally, any unexpected artist news—health, personal, or professional—could shift listener attention. Real-time Luminate data leaks or industry reports during May 22–28 may also influence trader positioning as the outcome becomes clearer.