TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 4:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Richmond Tigers and Fremantle Dockers, scheduled for September 5 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Richmond Tigers" if Richmond Tigers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Fremantle Dockers" if Fremantle Dockers is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Richmond Tigers and Fremantle Dockers, scheduled for September 5 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Richmond Tigers" if Richmond Tigers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Fremantle Dockers" if Fremantle Dockers is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbook odds are influenced by the bookmaker’s analysis and risk management, this market is shaped by the willingness of individuals to buy or sell based on their own research and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of a particular result, and changes in price signal shifts in sentiment. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and the availability of relevant information.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Richmond Tigers vs. Fremantle Dockers AFL match. Resolution will depend on publicly available data confirming the final score and winner of the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team selection changes, or coaching decisions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also play a role, as could major shifts in public opinion or expert analysis. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s prediction of the AFL match outcome.