TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Richmond Spiders and Davidson Wildcats scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, resolving both possible outcomes (Davidson win and Richmond win) to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses a sound categorical resolution structure. The two platforms are fundamentally incompatible.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market cannot be settled as currently written. Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution criteria. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be the primary reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both possible game outcomes (Davidson win and Richmond win) are specified to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Key Quote: If Davidson wins...resolves to Yes. If Richmond wins...resolves to Yes.Polymarket:
Categorical resolution: Richmond Spiders win resolves to Richmond Spiders; Davidson Wildcats win resolves to Davidson Wildcats. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: If the Richmond Spiders win, the market will resolve to Richmond Spiders. If the Davidson Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Davidson Wildcats.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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