TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Rice vs Notre Dame: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Rice vs Notre Dame?

Volume:
$35,552

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

 - Kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 7.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 6:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,349
N/A
N/A
$12,209
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 23.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,805
N/A
N/A
$6,805
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 19.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,782
N/A
N/A
$4,782
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 16.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,935
N/A
N/A
$3,935
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,396
N/A
N/A
$3,378
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$630
N/A
N/A
$630
Settled
No
kalshi

Rice wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$518
Settled
No
kalshi

Rice wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$372
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$512
N/A
N/A
$512
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$407
N/A
N/A
$395
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
$373
Settled
No
kalshi

Notre Dame wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
$348
Settled
No
kalshi

Rice wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
No
kalshi

Rice wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
No
kalshi

Rice wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$325
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

These markets focus on predicting the point differential specifically in the final quarter of a college football game between Rice and Notre Dame. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential in the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) of the Rice vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For markets where Notre Dame must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Notre Dame outscores Rice by more than that margin in the fourth quarter alone. Conversely, markets requiring Rice to win resolve if Rice outscores Notre Dame by more than the stated margin in that quarter. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the fourth quarter, disregarding any points from earlier quarters or overtime periods. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty introduced by the delay. These rules apply uniformly across all specified point-differential thresholds for both teams.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Rice vs Notre Dame spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the 4th quarter. You can view the price history to see how expectations have changed over time, as well as the 24-hour volume, which currently stands at $35,189. Total volume for this market is $35,552. This allows participants to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the final quarter of the game.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on their analysis, this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the game’s outcome, potentially leading to a different assessment of the probability of various spreads. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and the event draws closer, as traders react to news and analysis.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract indicates the probability that the actual spread will fall in that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. Currently, the top market on Kalshi is for Notre Dame winning the 4th quarter by over 6.5 points, though the probabilities are constantly shifting based on trading activity.

This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the 4th quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers, ensuring an objective determination of whether the actual spread fell within the ranges defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The final score difference will be the determining factor for settlement.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Rice or Notre Dame teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking analysis from sports commentators or unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price leading up to Sep 12, 2026.