TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Rice and Notre Dame in the first quarter of their college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in the opening quarter.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by both teams in the first quarter exceed specified thresholds, ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each with its own threshold, and resolution depends solely on the total first-quarter points relative to that threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market represents what traders collectively believe will happen. It's common to see this market move differently than sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or even weather conditions impacting the game.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Rice vs Notre Dame game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether contracts payout based on the specified point ranges. It’s important to note that the official game statistics will be the definitive source for resolution, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Rice or Notre Dame would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, even general public perception and trending opinions about the teams’ performance can contribute to fluctuations in this market.