TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Rice and Notre Dame. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win the first half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Rice vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's win margin in the first half exceeds the stated threshold—for example, if Notre Dame wins by more than the listed point spread, or if Rice does the same. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, meaning neither 'Yes' nor 'No' is enforced but rather an equitable resolution reflecting market expectations at that time. The markets are independent of any full-game results and strictly evaluate first-half performance only.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially incorporating information not yet factored into sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, information advantages among traders, or simply variations in opinion. Monitoring both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the likely outcome and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy 'yes' contracts (believing the spread will be as predicted) and offer to sell 'no' contracts. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of the outcome, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest offer, constantly adjusting as new information and opinions enter the market. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the Rice vs Notre Dame spread.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the first half of the Rice vs Notre Dame game will be compared to the market’s spread to determine winning contracts. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Rice or Notre Dame teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.